$SPX Cash
Index
by Steven Grimaldi gts@nb.net
Don Hall's Pyrapoint is used with Ensign Windows. This
plots Gann's Square of 9. The starting point was the market
high. Everything else is projected into the future without
manipulation.
The blue horizontal lines are major support / resistance
for 45 degree squares from the high. The vertical lines are
time periods. Notice that the major turning points occur
near these cyan vertical lines. I created this within
minutes of ordering the Pyrapoint tool. I have not even
read the 300 page manual that is currently being shipped.
360 degrees of the Square of 9 is the bottom
of the market on 03-22-2001, at a one year cycle from the
market high on 03-24-2000.
On 05-22-2001 we hit the 180 degree Square
of 9 from the market high on 03-24-2000. The turning point
also occurred at an exact vertical time point. This gave a
very strong sell signal along with others.
Phi = 1.618. 05-22-2001 is 424
calendar days from 03-24-2000 all-time S&P 500 high. Phi
cubed times 100 = 424. 05-22-2001 is 263 calendar days from
09-01-2000 the S&P double top. Phi squared times 100 =
262. 05-22-2001 is 61 calendar days from 03-22-2001 low. 1
/ Phi = 61.8
Helio cycles: Synodic: JU 15
from 11-06-2000 S&P high. JS 15 from 07-31-2000 low.
Sidereal: Mars 120 from 09-04-2000
Labor Day. 240 from 01-17-2000 holiday (01-14-2000 Dow
high).
Geo: Moon-Sun-Saturn conjunction
with Mercury-Uranus trine.
The helio cycles come from Brad Cowan. The
geo marker from Myles Walker. Reference: Someone smarter
than I at the GannGhost group.
(For more information on Pyrapoint, read the
January 2001 and
April 2001 issues of this newsletter on
Ensign's web site)
Trading Tip:
The Importance of Time
by Howard Arrington
I am often asked which tool or study is the best, as if
there exists a simple answer to such a question. Instead of
answering that question, perhaps I can help direct your
attention to tools that should be given a higher priority.
Let's start our discussion on priority by asking this
question:
How would you rank order the importance
of Price, Volume and Time?
I suspect that most traders, particularly new traders,
would answer that Price is the most important market factor,
followed by Volume, with Time being the least important. I
suspect that this answer is given most often because Price
is the easiest to comprehend, and Time is the hardest to
understand. I have come to believe that Time is the most
important factor, yes even ahead of Price, and if you would
spend more effort analyzing Time, your trading success would
improve. Too often analysis focuses on Price and ignores
Time altogether. So, this month's trading tip is: Learn to
use Time related tools.
Hank Dean wrote, 'One of the most critical aspects of
successful trading is not what the direction is or
why it's happening. It is the mostly overlooked when.
The when can often be forecasted just like phases of
the moon or the tides or waves or rhythms of any kind.
Using one very simple tool, time cycles, and some common
sense, you can win consistently.'
December 2000 Trading Tips newsletter: 'Cycles
Tool'
Let's take inventory of Time related tools:
- Cycles: Short Term and Seasonal
- Fibonacci Numbers
- Fibonacci Ruler
- Pyrapoint
- Gann Square
- Gann Fan
- Elliott Wave Theory
- Trend Lines, particularly Parallel Lines
- Astronomical clocks and relationships
- Time of Day and Day of Week
I do not have space or time to give each of these tools
new treatment in this article. The tools on my list have
been discussed in prior articles in the Trading Tips
newsletter, and a reference to the material on Ensign's web
site will suffice. Of the above, my favorite tools are
Pyrapoint, Trend Lines and Fibonacci Numbers in that
order. I am not discounting the value of any of the
others. It is just that when tools are more complex, such
as Astronomical relationships, I tend not to use them as
much as I should and I find myself seeing the correlation
'after the fact' |