After
Hours Market
by Howard Arrington
Investors may trade in the After Hours Market (3:00 -
5:30 p.m. Central Time) on the Nasdaq Stock Market. On a
quote page, the Bid column will show the price a prospective
buyer is prepared to pay at a particular time for trading a
security. The Ask column will show the price at which
someone who owns a security offers to sell a security.
During regular market hours, the last sale is shown in the
Last column. However, during the After Hours session, the
last sale is displayed in the Form T column. The last sale
is an electronic entry by a NASD Member firm representing
the price involved in a transaction of a Nasdaq security.
The trade report must be submitted to Nasdaq within 90
seconds after the execution of the trade.
Participation by Market Makers and ECNs in the After
Hours Market is strictly voluntary and as a result may offer
less liquidity and inferior prices. Tip: Investors who
anticipate trading the After Hours Market are strongly
advised to use limit orders because stock prices may move
more quickly in this environment.
The following illustration shows After Hours trading, the
last Form T trade, Bid price, and Ask price using Ensign
Windows with the Data Transmission Network data feed.
Tip: To enable Ensign Windows to chart the After Hours
data, change the @Nasdaq day session closing time to 17:30
on the SetUp | Symbol Properties form.
Study Insight:
Forward Shifted Moving
Averages
by Howard Arrington
A common use of two moving averages is to buy when a
faster moving average crosses above a slower moving average,
and sell when the faster average crosses below the slower
average. The illustration shows a 5-bar simple moving
average plotted in dark blue crossing a 15-bar simple moving
average plotted in red.
Moving average signals have advantages and disadvantages,
and both are illustrated on this chart. The advantage is
that moving averages work well in trending markets (May -
July). By keeping you in a position, it heeds the counsel
to 'let your profits run'. Averages filter out minor market
reactions such as those shown in the first and last weeks of
June. The disadvantage is that moving average signals 'eat
you alive' in choppy markets (April and end of July) because
of the lag time in the signal.
Because of these opposing characteristics of moving
averages, technicians have often sought to optimize the
signals by backtesting various parameter combinations for
the two moving averages. In general, faster averages reduce
the lag time for the signal, but introduce additional
whip-lash trades. Slower averages filter more minor
reactions, but increases the lag time which gives back more
profit at major turns.
A compromise that seeks to decrease the lag time, yet
still filter minor reactions, can be found in using a 2nd
average that is a fast moving average forward shifted to the
right instead of a slower moving average. Tip: This is
accomplished in Ensign Windows by adding two moving average
studies to a chart, and setting the Shift parameter for the
2nd average to something like 5 for a displacement 5-bars to
the right.
The following chart shows two 5-bar moving averages, yet
the 2nd average is shifted or displaced 5 bars to the
right. I call this a forward shifted moving average. The
two averages are identical in shape because they are both
5-bar moving averages.
Let's compare the signals on these two charts and talk
about some of the differences. The lag time on the 1st Long
signal is less. The signal is two bars earlier at a close
of 5650 instead of at 5700. The 1st Short signal occurs
three bars earlier at a close of 5750 instead of at 5525.
Because of the change in lag time for these two signals the
Long position taken in April changed from a losing trade
(Buy 5700, Sell 5525 = 175 loss) to a winning trade (Buy
5650, Sell 5750 = 100 profit). The better sell price (5750)
also contributes to more profit in the short position taken
in mid May.
However, you will notice these new averages get caught in
the market reaction the first week of June for a whip-lash.
The whip-lash gave back the profit that was gained by having
quicker signals with less lag time.
I made no attempt to optimize the parameters, or to find
a combination that would eliminate the whip-lash. I simply
picked an example chart that had both sideways movement and
a nice trend. This trading tip illustrates the use of a
forward shifted average, and discusses the advantages and
disadvantages of using moving average crossovers to generate
buy and sell signals. |