This market sentiment indicator shows the
relationship between large block trades, which are trades of more than
10,000 shares, and the total volume on the New York Stock Exchange. The
comparison of large block trades to total volume shows how active the
large institutional traders are.
The higher the Large Block Ratio, the more
institutional activity is taking place. To smooth out the day-to-day
fluctuations, I recommend plotting a 20-day moving average of the Large
Block Ratio.
Interpretation
A high number of Large Block trades in relation to
total volume often coincides with market tops and bottoms. This occurs
as institutions recognize the extreme overbought or oversold conditions
of the market and place trades accordingly. Of course, this assumes the
institutions know what they are doing!
Example
The following chart shows the New York Stock
Exchange Index and the Large Block Ratio.
I drew vertical lines when the Ratio was relatively
high. You can see that these points coincided with intermediate-term
peaks.
Calculation
The Large Block Ratio is calculated by dividing the
number of large block trades by the total volume on the New York Stock
Exchange.