Kagi charts are believed to have been created around
the time that the Japanese stock market began trading in the 1870s. Kagi
charts display a series of connecting vertical lines where the thickness
and direction of the lines are dependent on the price action. The charts
ignore the passage of time.
If prices continue to move in the same direction,
the vertical line is extended. However, if prices reverse by a
"reversal" amount, a new kagi line is then drawn in a new column. When
prices penetrate a previous high or low, the thickness of the kagi line
changes.
Kagi charts were brought to the United States by
Steven Nison when he published the book, Beyond Candlesticks.
Interpretation
Kagi charts illustrate the forces of supply and
demand on a security:
A series of thick lines shows that demand is
exceeding supply (a rally).
A series of thin lines shows that supply is
exceeding demand (a decline).
Alternating thick and thin lines shows that the
market is in a state of equilibrium (i.e., supply equals demand).
The most basic trading technique for kagi charts is
to buy when the kagi line changes from thin to thick and to sell when
the kagi line changes from thick to thin.
A sequence of higher-highs and higher-lows on a kagi
chart shows the underlying forces are bullish. Whereas, lower-highs and
lower-lows indicate underlying weakness.
Example
The following chart shows a 0.02-point kagi chart
and a classic bar chart of Euro Dollars.
I drew "buy" arrows on the bar chart when the kagi
lines changed from thin to thick and drew "sell" arrows when the lines
changed from thick to thin.
Calculation
The first closing price in a kagi chart is the
"starting price." To draw the first kagi line, today's close is compared
to the starting price.
If today's price is greater than or equal to the
starting price, then a thick line is drawn from the starting price to
the new closing price.
If today's price is less than or equal to the
starting price, then a thin line is drawn from the starting price to
the new closing price.
To draw subsequent lines, compare the closing price
to the tip (i.e. bottom or top) of the previous kagi line:
If the price continued in the same direction as
the previous line, the line is extended in the same direction, no
matter how small the move.
If the price moved in the opposite direction by
at least the reversal amount (this may take several days), then a
short horizontal line is drawn to the next column and a new vertical
line is drawn to the closing price.
If the price moved in the opposite direction of
the current column by less than the reversal amount no lines are
drawn.
If a thin kagi line exceeds the prior high point on
the chart, the line becomes thick. Likewise, if a thick kagi line falls
below the prior low point, the line becomes thin.