The Vertical Horizontal Filter ("VHF") determines
whether prices are in a trending phase or a congestion phase.
The VHF was first presented by Adam White in an
article published in the August, 1991 issue of Futures Magazine.
Interpretation
Probably the biggest dilemma in technical analysis
is determining if prices are trending or are in a trading-range.
Trend-following indicators such as the MACD and moving averages are
excellent in trending markets, but they usually generate multiple
conflicting trades during trading-range (or "congestion") periods. On
the other hand, oscillators such as the RSI and Stochastics work well
when prices fluctuate within a trading range, but they almost always
close positions prematurely during trending markets. The VHF indicator
attempts to determine the "trendiness" of prices to help you decide
which indicators to use.
There are three ways to interpret the VHF indicator:
You can use the VHF values themselves to
determine the degree that prices are trending. The higher the VHF, the
higher the degree of trending and the more you should be using
trend-following indicators.
You can use the direction of the VHF to determine
whether a trending or congestion phase is developing. A rising VHF
indicates a developing trend; a falling VHF indicates that prices may
be entering a congestion phase.
You can use the VHF as a contrarian indicator.
Expect congestion periods to follow high VHF values; expect prices to
trend following low VHF values.
Example
The following chart shows Motorola and the VHF
indicator.
The VHF indicator was relatively low from 1989
through most of 1992. These low values showed that prices were in a
trading range. From late-1992 through 1993 the VHF was significantly
higher. These higher values indicated that prices were trending.
The 40-week (i.e., 200-day) moving average on
Motorola's prices demonstrates the value of the VHF indicator. You can
see that a classic moving average trading system (buy when prices rise
above their moving average and sell when prices fall below their
average) worked well in 1992 and 1993, but generated numerous whipsaws
when prices were in a trading range.
Calculation
To calculate the VHF indicator, first determine the
highest closing price ("HCP") and the lowest closing price ("LCP") over
the specified time period (often 28-days).
Next, subtract the lowest closing price from the
highest closing price and take the absolute value of this difference.
This value will be the numerator.
To determine the denominator, sum the absolute value
of the difference between each day's price and the previous day's price
over the specified time periods.
The VHF is then calculated by dividing the
previously defined numerator by the denominator.