Price and Volume: Strategy
I've been asked why I stopped providing annotations
of daily charts. I replied at the time and since that there are only so
many principles, and not very many of those. At some point, either one
sees no value in them, in which case nothing is accomplished by
continuing to provide redundant examples, or one does see value in them
but doesn't know what to do next.
This thread is about what to do next.
As before, there will no discussion of indicators since the chief effect
of these discussions is to flatten the learning curve. Posts which
address indicators will be deleted. And while one can load one's charts
with as many indicators as he or she likes in the privacy of his or her
own home, those charts will be deleted. One of the goals of this thread
will be to make things simple, not to add unnecessary layers of
complexity.
Learning how to trade using price and volume and their relationship
requires a certain way of thinking about the market, a certain way of
seeing. If one gets stuck in a mudhole after taking the wrong turn at
the detour, one must first extricate himself from the mud before he can
back up and try another route; if one has learned a certain way of
thinking about and seeing the market, much of that may have to be
unlearned before one can begin to distinguish between appearance and
reality.
This process can be extremely frustrating, even painful, and those who
choose not to subject themselves to it are welcome to pursue their
particular interests on one or more of the many threads available, or
start new ones.
As a starting point, I suggest that one think about the three basic
approaches -- breakouts, reversals, and retracements/continuations --
and work toward developing at least one primary bread-and-butter
strategy for each. One may want to focus on just breakouts, for example,
to begin with, if the idea of developing three is overwhelming. But he
must understand that the fewer tools he has available, the fewer
opportunities he may find and the less he will be trading. Some may find
this a relief. Others will find it intolerable.
The original thread will remain, though I will be condensing it as much
as possible, eliminating, for example, quoted posts since there's no
point in having both the original and the quote. I'd like to go through
all the charts again and make them more consistent with regard to the
use of color and symbols and abbreviations, and that may happen someday,
but don't hold your breath. The principles don't rely on color, and
readers are much more likely to be interested in what happened yesterday
than they are in a chart from March. And there are also the detailed
files available at the Yahoo site (click Files, below), the most
important of which are, after the Introduction ("What's A Chart?"), the
Demand/Supply file and the uploads on support and resistance. Those
alone can provide a shock to the system from which many do not recover. |