What It Is:
There are four types of doji candlesticks -- common, long-legged,
dragonfly and gravestone. All dojis are marked by the fact that prices
open and close at the same level. If prices finish very close to the
same level (so that no body or a very small real body is visible), then
that candle can also be read as a doji.
A doji represents a supply/demand equilibrium -- a tug-of-war where
neither the bulls nor bears are winning. In the case of an uptrend, the
bulls have by definition won previous battles because prices have
recently moved higher. Now, the outcome of the latest skirmish is in
doubt. Meanwhile, after a long downtrend, the opposite is true. The
bears have been victorious in previous battles, forcing prices down. In
this case, the bulls have found courage to buy and the tide may be ready
to turn.
What I call a "common" doji has a relatively small trading range, and it
reflects indecision on the market of market participants.
How It Works:
When assessing a doji candlestick, always take careful notice of when it
occurs. If the security you're examining is still in the early stages of
an uptrend or downtrend, then it is unlikely that the doji will mark a
top. Similarly, if the doji occurs in the middle of a Bollinger band,
then it is likely to signify a pause rather than an outright trend
reversal.
As significant as the pattern is, one should not trade on the doji
alone. Always wait for the next candlestick to confirm your suspicions
before taking action. That does not necessarily mean, however, that you
need to wait the entire next period. If a doji is seen after a sustained
uptrend, then a large gap down immediately following the doji should
normally provide a safe shorting opportunity. The best entry time for a
short trade would be early in the following session. Similarly, if a
strong downdraft occurs at the beginning of a week after a weekly doji,
trading action should be taken. In the sample chart below, the S&P has
formed a prime example of a common doji. Note that this doji candle is
significant, as it comes after a prolonged uptrend and is near the top
Bollinger band.
Why It Matters:
After a long uptrend, the appearance of a doji candlestick can be an
ominous warning sign that the trend has peaked or is close to peaking.
Dojis should not be assessed mechanically. However, after a strong trend
in either direction, they can often mark major turning points. Always
recognize the doji when it occurs, and be prepared to take appropriate
action |