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 Trade & Money Management  > Intraday Volatility Method. Target $500 profit.
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ant___
247 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 14:31:49    
quote:
Originally posted by theHook
Here is a cute video on Beta:
http://www.investopedia.com/video/play/understanding-beta#axzz1mrC08wA4[/quote]

A great refresher; thanks!
binthere
362 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 14:40:38    
ok tachyonv goit now, thx
theHook
3721 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 16:19:27    
quote:
Originally posted by tachyonv
Updated the first post in this thread still more, to try and make the symbol selection clearer. Been doing this too long, its too easy for me to fail to explain clearly enough for others. My bad.


Thanks tachyonv.

I modified Tradeable Symbols to display the info in a TS Scan. It is a crude RS. I will post the changes if it is alright with tachyonv.

Here is what it looks like and the scan inputs:

The Tradeable Symbol information is broken in to three parts: Tradeable, APR and ATR information. I am showing
the Tradeable and APR info in this example:




binthere
362 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 16:45:15    
Hook,
here comes a newbie question, how did u make the tradable indy to show in radar?, what did u modify?
thx, binthere
theHook
3721 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 16:53:16    
quote:
Originally posted by binthere
Hook,
here comes a newbie question, how did u make the tradable indy to show in radar?, what did u modify?
thx, binthere


I changed the Tradeable Symbols Indicator so it would work in a Scan. Tach version currently will only run in a RadarScreen.
binthere
362 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 17:02:10    
could you explain what should be changed to make it work in scan so i could learn and not bother in the future? :)
when i open a new indicator under development enviroment it doesn't give a option to make indicator available on scan
thx, binthere
theHook
3721 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 17:19:55    
quote:
Originally posted by binthere
could you explain what should be changed to make it work in scan so i could learn and not bother in the future? :)
when i open a new indicator under development enviroment it doesn't give a option to make indicator available on scan
thx, binthere


I changed the code:





There are several other code changes I did to build the plot strings which I did later in the code.

If tach approves, I will share the changes.

Hook
Tom47
4161 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 17:34:55    
Thanks Hook, I was just looking at that and wondering what if anything to do since I don't even have radarscreen. Can't the things being done in the tradable symbols indicator be done with just a regular scan?
theHook
3721 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 17:38:52    
Well RS has ways to display plot data that scans do not -- such as identifing info by field
name. I built some strings with field titles to give a crude version. Since I don't trade stocks I
don't have RS either.

And I use TS but trade thru ......
TradingDude
18643 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 17:41:48    
RadarScreen is free with 10 round turn futures contract or 5,000 shares

Accounts having the following trading activity or more in the preceding month:

• Futures: 10 round-turn futures or futures option contracts -or-
50 round-turn single stock
Equities: 5,000 shares
• Equity & Index Options: 50 contracts
• Forex: 10 round-turn lots or 100 round-turn mini lots

Accounts having a balance of $1 million on the last day of the previous calendar month.
theHook
3721 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 18:23:28    
I agree with tachyonv it is easy to get to those numbers or 10 round trips for futures but when you don't
use TS as your broker it a bit different.
split
108 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 18:25:57    
Tach

As your probably the only one here who will have run this scan previously, would you be willing to share a few Tradable symbols from previous scan/RS lists from previous runs using these settings as I dont think this can be done historically ?

I would just like to look back from the date of the scan and see how often the symbols returned change and also so I can look back from each run to see how they were trading prior to the scan

Many Thanks
TradingDude
18643 Posts
Posted - 02/19/2012 19:14:45    
quote:
Originally posted by theHook
I agree with tachyonv it is easy to get to those numbers or 10 round trips for futures but when you don't
use TS as your broker it a bit different.



do the 10 minimum round turns, pays for the $99 platform fee and the $59 RadarScreen fee, $ 160...

Assuming just breakeven trades...

YM is $5/tick. Trade for 1 tick average profit, cover commisions.

Daily RTH range for YM.D is over 80 ticks

5 trades of 2 contracts will do the trick trading small size.
Have 20+ trading days with 6 1/2 hours each...
theHook
3721 Posts
Posted - 02/20/2012 11:32:50    
In tach first post near the bottom he says:

"- Deviating from the above may result in otherwise easily avoided losses. Symbol selection is critical and DOES require use of RadarScreen and the Tradable Symbols indicator. The TS scanner is insufficient. Am unaware of any scanner on the Internet which can scan as well as RadarScreen and the Tradable Symbols indicator. Manually look up beta's on YHOO, does not take very long. TS beta values are on a different scale than those at YHOO. Including bata in a TS scan will exclude ETFs and ETNs, an undesirable effect."

You can improve on your scan a bit to include ETFs and ETNs by doing the following in your scans:



When doing this, you get a different list such as this:



Beware that new issues with no beta and symbols with invalid financial data will appear as well. Example: LNKD
ant___
247 Posts
Posted - 02/21/2012 00:08:07    
Here's a slight add-on to Kevin's KJDTimeAvgLow indicator - it now plots the earliest and the latest low times that occurred during the indicator's lookback period along with the original avg low time.
Here's the code (you may want to rename it to prevent overwriting the original):



....and a screenshot:

Attachment:DATA/20120221000440JW Screen 160.jpg 11011 bytes
ant___
247 Posts
Posted - 02/21/2012 08:26:32    
theHook,
Where'd u get the screenshot drawing tools?
Cool!
theHook
3721 Posts
Posted - 02/21/2012 08:50:23    
quote:
Originally posted by ant___
theHook,
Where'd u get the screenshot drawing tools?
Cool!


It is call SnagIt, I've had it for years. It is not free but you usually can find a coupon on the net to reduce the price.
theHook
3721 Posts
Posted - 02/21/2012 10:37:25    
Traded ALXN - in at 10:20 at 80.65 out 10:32 81.17 for 200 shares.

I waited for ALXN to come down and the %r to move below the 20 and then waited for price to rise and enter / touch the lower keltner channel.
split
108 Posts
Posted - 02/21/2012 10:45:22    
I was also watching ALXN, stuck a limit buy order on the bid (didnt want to pay the .15 spread) at 80.15 but didnt get filled and up she went.

Man the spreads seems very big when your used futures trading on TF.
theHook
3721 Posts
Posted - 02/21/2012 10:46:30    
quote:
Originally posted by tachyonv
Appears we've enough trading this that there are some fill challenges this morning. Not unexpected.

Nice ALXN trade, theHook, hope it was real and not just simulation.


It was real!
theHook
3721 Posts
Posted - 02/21/2012 10:52:57    
tach, a dumb question. Once you enter a trade at or near to lower keltner channel, do you every consider the upper keltner channel being resistance or a barrier for price to continue to rise?
ant___
247 Posts
Posted - 02/21/2012 10:56:33    
Bought ALXN at Market.
Bought 80.53 (10:08) and saw no reason to exit until 81.50 (10:48). Exited because of the high of 81.55 at 09:40, but looks like could have ridden higher.
DirtyGoatee
41 Posts
Posted - 02/21/2012 11:23:16    
quote:
Originally posted by tachyonv
Explanation of Beta from SmartMoney:

HOW MUCH volatility can you expect from a given stock? That's well worth knowing if you want to avoid being shocked into panic selling after buying it. Some stocks trend upward with all the consistency of a firefly. Others are much more steady. Beta is what academics call the calculation used to quantify that volatility.

The beta figure compares the stock's volatility to that of the S&P 500 index using the returns over the past five years. If a stock has a beta of 1, for instance, it means that over the past 60 months its price has gained 10% every time the S&P 500 has moved up 10%. It has also declined 10% on average when the S&P declines the same amount. In other words, the price tends to move in synch with the S&P, and it is considered a relatively steady stock.

The more risky a stock is, the more its beta moves upward. A figure of 2.5 means a gain or loss of 25% every time the S&P gains or loses just 10%. Likewise, a beta of 0.7 means the stock moves just 7% when the index moves in either direction. A low-beta stock will protect you in a general downturn, a high Beta means the potential for outsize rewards in an upturn.

That's how it is supposed to work, anyway. Unfortunately, past behavior offers no guarantees about the future. If a company's prospects change for better or worse, then its beta is likely change, too. So use the figure as a guide to a stock's tendencies, not as a crystal ball.

- - -

Purpose of filtering with beta in this method is to be able to trade long relatively safely even on a day when the DOW30 is down 125 points.



It often confuses people that no standard exists for beta. The issue traditionally is in regards to the time period of return calculations and look back time frame. Other issues are if the service is reporting a adjusted close (dividends) or non adjusted close as this can create a total return bias. I don't know for sure but I would imagine that these different services probably report different time frames and thats why you see different beta numbers. For the purpose of this particular calculation I would imagine you would want a shorter time frame beta (less then a year) as you are intraday trading.

I was at a major bank a few years back which was using the default bloomberg beta # which at the time was a daily return calculation going 6 months back. A first year analyst on the equity derivatives desk changed the time frame by mistake and it took half a day to figure out why mutiple hedges were way off. Luckily it was a 7 figure and not 8 figure mistake. That analyst was quickly sent to purgatory, the short term rates/repo desk.
ant___
247 Posts
Posted - 02/21/2012 15:19:49    
quote:
Originally posted by tachyonv
theHook, I never worry about trading. Do I watch the UKC? Yes.

Nice trade, ant, hope it was real money! Never regret a profitable trade once out, even if it goes higher after you exit.

Agreed; no regrets here.
bwjr
132 Posts
Posted - 02/21/2012 20:48:28    
PRGO 10:30 to 10:40 +0.54
PANL 10:35 to 14:15 -0.35
RRC 10:50 to 11:50 -0.55
The PRGO trade worked great. The PANL trade could have been a few cents profit but I used a limit order at 13:30 that went unfilled. I should not have entered RRC. All real trades but small.
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