Trading Strategy:
Breakout from a base. PALM is consolidating at
the top of its trading range over the last five
trading sessions and may be ready to break out
above this area. What we like about this pattern
is the fact that PALM moved to the top of the
range in one bar or trading session verses 4 to
5 as it did in the past. This shows strength and
a higher probability of continuation.
chart courtesy of
Mastertrader.com
Tip: Several bar rallies
into resistance verse a single bar has a higher
probability of experiencing profit taking. When
traders have been buying over several days they
often take profits more aggressively once that
issue nears its prior highs. A single bar that
moves into that area, as with the pattern in
PALM is ignites momentum typically continuing in
the direction of the wide range bar. PALM's
ability to stay in the upper 50% of that wide
range bar increases those odds.
The Play:
We will look to buy PALM once it trades above
18.80, which was last week's high. Once entered,
our stop will be placed .25 cents below the low
made on Friday at 17.08.
Objective:
Look for a move back toward the stock's $24 -
$25 area. This is the base area that PALM gapped
down from July 2002. If you refer to a weekly
chart you will see this clearly, as well as the
extensive base that has been built since the
August low.
Play Review:
PALM fell hard three days
after entering with the overall market but the
stop was not hit at that time. Next day's
negative open caused that to happen. One option
was to only exit half the position as PALM was
nearing an area of support and could bounce from
there, and the weekly chart still looked
attractive, but in the end support did not held,
and price proceeded down. |