Directional Movement
Description
The
Directional Movement System, developed
by J. Welles Wilder, is explained
thoroughly in his book, New Concepts
in Technical Trading Systems.
MetaStock Pro calculates and plots all
five of the indicators that comprise the
Directional Movement System (i.e., CSI,
+DI, -DI, ADX, and ADXR).
MetaStock
Pro also calculates a related indicator,
the
Commodity Selection
Index.
Wilder's
book gives complete step-by-step
instructions (and examples) on
calculating and interpreting each of the
above indicators.
Interpretation
The basic
Directional Movement trading system
involves plotting the 14-period +DI and
the 14-period -DI on top of each other
in the same inner window. An improved
method of displaying these two
indicators is to plot their difference
using the following formula:
pdi(14) - mdi(14)
Positions
should be taken by buying when the +DI
rises above the -DI (i.e., the formula
shown above rises above zero) and
selling when the +DI falls below the -DI
(i.e., the formula falls below zero).
These
simple trading rules are qualified with
the "extreme point rule." This rule is
designed to prevent whipsaws and reduce
the number of trades.
The extreme
point rule requires that on the day that
the +DI and -DI cross, you note the
"extreme price." If you are long, the
extreme price is the low price on the
day the lines cross. If you are short,
the extreme price is the high price on
the day the lines cross.
The extreme
point is then used as a trigger point at
which you should implement the trade.
For example, after receiving a buy
signal (the +DI rose above the -DI), you
should then wait until the security's
price rises above the extreme point (the
high price on the day that the +DI and
-DI lines crossed) before buying. If the
price fails to rise above the extreme
point, you should continue to hold your
short position.
In Wilder's
book, he notes that this system works
best on securities that have a high
Commodity Selection
Index (CSI) value. He says, "as a
rule of thumb, the system will be
profitable on commodities that have an
ADXR value above 25. When the ADXR drops
below 20, then do not use a
trend-following system." |