Fibonacci Time Projections
by Howard Arrington
The Fibonacci sequence involves the use of ratios, and
the two ratios that are focused on in this trading tip are
1.618 and 2.618. Time can be forecast by measuring the
horizontal time period between two points A and B, and
multiplying by the Fibonacci ratios. The result is plotted
rightward from point A.
Fibonacci time projections can be made from top to top,
bottom to bottom, or top to bottom. Because of the
multiplicity of swing tops and bottoms, there is the problem
of a multitude of possible relationships. One solution to
the problem is to use this tool in conjunction with other
time-oriented information, such as Elliott wave counts or
cycle analysis.
The following chart illustrates three Fibonacci Time
Projections. Each time period measured is marked with blue
lines and arrows labeled A and B. The forecasts are marked
with red lines and labeled for the Fibonacci ratio used.
Fibonacci Time Projects are easy to make using the
Fibonacci Ruler tool in Ensign Windows. The percentages,
colors and markers are configured on the tool's property
form.
Study Insight:
Trends Color Bar Study
by Howard Arrington
The
Trends study is applied to a chart by clicking on the Color
Bars button, and selecting Trends in the list. Bars in an
Up trend are colored with one color, such as green, and bars
in a Down trend use a different color, such as red. This is
the logic used to create the Trends Color Bar study.
This code is called in a loop so the test is made for
each bar on the chart. The rPaint array will store a value
of 1 to color the bar for an Up trend, or the value of 2 to
color the bar for a Down trend.
if rPaint[y]=1 then begin
if (r[w].h=r[y].h) and (r[w].l<r[y].l) then begin
rPaint[w]:=2; exit; end;
if (r[w].h>=r[y].h) or (r[w].l>=r[y].l) then begin
rPaint[w]:=1; exit; end;
end;
if rPaint[y]=2 then begin
if (r[w].l=r[y].l) and (r[w].h>r[y].h) then begin
rPaint[w]:=1; exit; end;
if (r[w].l<=r[y].l) or (r[w].h<=r[y].h) then begin
rPaint[w]:=2; exit; end;
end;
if r[w].h>r[y].h then rPaint[w]:=1
else if r[w].l<r[y].l then rPaint[w]:=2
else rPaint[w]:=rPaint[y];
r[] is an array of bar records. The .h field is the
bar's high. The .l field is the bar's low.
The index w references the bar being tested, and y is the
index for the adjacent bar to the left.
The programming logic can be expressed with this word
description:
If the previous bar's trend is Up, then make two tests:
If the current high is equal to the previous high and the
current low is below the previous low, then color this bar
Down.
If the current high is at or above the previous high or
the current low is at or above the previous low, then color
this bar Up.
If the previous bar's trend is Down, then make two tests:
If the current low is equal to the previous low and the
current high is above the previous high, then color this bar
Up.
If the current low is at or below the previous low or the
current high is at or below the previous high, then color
this bar Down.
If the current bar has not be colored by the above tests,
then make these tests:
If the current high is above the previous high, then color
the bar Up.
If the current low is below the previous low, then color
the bar Down.
If the bar's trend is still undetermined, let it be a
continuation of the same trend as the previous bar. |