Bulkowski’s Volume Trend

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Volume trends up or down. I consider the trend, found using linear regression from the start of the chart pattern to the end, separate from the volume shape. Although volume may have a U, dome, or random shape, volume may trend up or down. For more information consult the book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, Second Edition and the following...

Rising volume trend

A rising volume trend

The slope of the volume line found using linear regression was upward. The following patterns performed better with a rising volume trend from the start of the chart pattern to the end. There are 30 chart pattern variations listed.

Chart Patterns in a bull market
Big W, up breakouts
Broadening bottoms, downward breakouts
Broadening formations, right-angled and descending, up or down breakouts
Broadening wedges, descending, down breakouts
Diamond bottom, up or down breakouts
Diamond top, up breakouts
Head-and-shoulders bottoms, complex
Head-and-shoulders tops
Head-and-shoulders tops, complex
Horn bottoms
Island reversals, up breakouts
Pennants, up breakouts
Rectangle bottoms, up or down breakouts
Rectangle tops, down breakouts
Rounding bottoms
Scallops, ascending, up and down breakouts
Scallops, ascending and inverted
Scallops, descending, up breakouts
Three rising valleys
Triangles, ascending, up breakouts
Triangles, descending, up breakouts
Triangles, symmetrical, down breakouts
Triple bottoms
Triple tops
Wedges, falling, up breakouts
Wedges, rising, up breakouts

Falling volume trend

A falling volume trend

The slope of the volume line found using linear regression was downward. The following patterns performed better with a falling volume trend from the start of the chart pattern to the end. There are 31 chart pattern variations listed.

Chart Patterns in a bull market
Big W, down breakouts
Broadening bottoms, upward breakouts
Broadening formations, right-angled and ascending, up or down breakouts
Broadening tops, up or down breakouts
Broadening wedges, descending, up breakouts
Cup with handle, inverted
Double bottoms, Adam & Adam
Double bottoms, Adam & Eve
Double bottoms, Eve & Adam
Double bottoms, Eve & Eve
Double tops, Adam & Adam
Double tops, Eve & Adam
Flags, both up and down breakouts
Flags, high and tight, both up and down breakouts
Head-and-shoulders bottoms
Islands, long, up and down breakouts
Pipe bottoms
Pipe tops
Rectangle tops, up breakouts
Rounding tops, up breakouts
Scallops, descending and inverted
Triangles, ascending, down breakouts
Triangles, descending, down breakouts
Triangles, symmetrical, up breakouts
Wedges, falling, down breakouts
Wedges, rising, down breakouts

No Performance Improvement

The following patterns show no performance improvement when sorted by the volume trend. There are 15 chart pattern variations listed.

Chart Patterns in a bull market
Broadening wedges, ascending, up or down breakouts
Bum-and-run reversal bottoms
Bum-and-run reversal tops
Cup with handle
Diamond top, down breakouts
Double tops, Adam & Eve
Double tops, Eve & Eve
Horn tops
Island reversals, down breakouts
Pennants, down breakouts
Rounding tops, down breakouts
Scallops, descending, up or down breakouts
Three falling peaks

Copyright © 2005-2007 by Thomas N. Bulkowski. All rights reserved. A bird in the hand is worth what it will bring.